Unverified50% confidenceFactExact time
Over-extrapolation (confidently answering questions that have no answer) is the only failure mode that passes through all five stages, because no step in the pipeline checks whether the question is underdetermined.
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Long-term
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10/12/2026
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UnverifiedAfter removing the gating condition from the metacognitive prompt pipeline, accuracy fell to zero, reverting to the 5/17 baseline.68% similarUnverifiedWhen all sampled outputs in a group are incorrect, the group-relative advantage collapses to zero, causing the model to receive no effective gradient feedback in high-uncertainty scenarios.68% similarUnverified分层漏斗每一层输出置信度分数，当置信度低于预设阈值时请求才下沉到下一层；阈值过高导致请求不必要流向下层，阈值过低引发误识别65% similarUnverifiedThe gated metacognitive pipeline rescued 10 wrong answers and broke 0 correct answers; the ungated version rescued 5 and broke 5 correct answers.65% similarUnverifiedThe performance ceiling of the two-stage pipeline is determined by the recall of the first stage, and it must be demonstrated that true contradictory pairs were not filtered out during the retrieval stage.65% similar
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