Unverified50% confidenceFactExact time
The Kelly formula is used to calculate the optimal bet proportion when the win rate and odds are known, and its core conclusion is that even with positive expectation, one should not stake all of one's capital.
1
Sources
50%
Confidence
Long-term
Relevance
10/16/2026
First Seen
Sources
Related Entities
Related Claims
UnverifiedThe winner determination logic is to first sort by average score from highest to lowest; if average scores are tied, completion rate is compared; if still tied, the one with fewer steps wins.73% similarUnverifiedThe core property of a strictly proper scoring rule is that the expected score is maximized if and only if the forecaster reports the probability they truly believe, with common examples including log-likelihood loss and the Brier score.73% similarUnverifiedThe expected value of a proper scoring rule is maximized only when the probability stated by the model is consistent with the true likelihood.71% similarUnverifiedThe Sharpe ratio was proposed by Nobel Economics Prize laureate William Sharpe and is calculated as the strategy's excess return divided by the standard deviation of returns.71% similarUnverified期望价值的计算方式为各种可能结果的收益乘以其发生概率之和70% similar
Cite This Claim
Stable URI
https://kongchang.com/claim/1043576API
curl https://kongchang.com/api/v1/knowledge/claims/1043576MCP
get_claim(id=1043576)