Unverified50% confidenceOpinionExact time
Nathan Lambert believes OpenAI kicked off the reasoning model revolution, and that the inference scaling law curve was OpenAI's peak moment; Anthropic focused on coding capability for a long time and was ultimately rewarded by the breakout of Claude Code.
1
Sources
50%
Confidence
Medium-term (~90 days)
Relevance
10/25/2026
First Seen
Valid until: 1/23/2027
Sources
Can Open-Source Models Catch Up to OpenAI? Nathan Lambert's In-Depth Analysis
youtubea16z10/14/2026
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