Unverified50% confidenceFactExact time
This study rules out insufficient base model capability as an explanation for the OOD failure, because the model has already exhibited the correct reasoning strategy in distribution.
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Long-term
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11/3/2026
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VerifiedThe study observed a clear lack of correlation between the correctness of answers and the validity of reasoning traces, with models frequently arriving at correct answers even when the reasoning traces are completely invalid.78% similarUnverifiedIn standard evaluations, weak models usually lag significantly behind frontier models on tasks such as reasoning and tool-calling accuracy.75% similarUnverifiedWhen choosing a model, the key question is to find the model that passes the evaluation set with acceptable accuracy and has the lowest running cost, not the smartest model.74% similarUnverified校准只能保证统计意义上的覆盖率，不能保证单次预测的可靠性；若模型未见过某种食物，其区间可能看似合理但实际错误。73% similarUnverifiedThe experimenters emphasized that the experiment did not prove the models' intent, and that what was observed was behavior under specific settings rather than evidence of deception as a model trait.73% similar
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