Unverified50% confidencePredictionExact time

At the current doubling rate, AI could be taking over tasks that would take humans several weeks to finish by next year.

1

Sources

50%

Confidence

Medium-term (~90 days)

Relevance

7/2/2026

First Seen

Valid until: 9/30/2026

Sources

AI Now Writes Over 80% of Code: What Doubling Capability Every 4 Months Really Means

bilibili小双2296/6/2026

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