Expired50% confidenceOpinionExact time
Based on the long-term debt cycle theory, Dalio warns that the U.S. federal debt-to-GDP ratio has exceeded 120% and the wealth Gini coefficient is approaching 1929 levels, and considers the probability of a disorderly deleveraging to be significantly elevated.
1
Sources
50%
Confidence
Medium-term (~90 days)
Relevance
7/18/2026
First Seen
Valid until: 10/16/2026(expired)
Sources
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