Unverified60% confidenceFactExact time
The technology adoption lifecycle theory divides users into five groups: Innovators (2.5%), Early Adopters (13.5%), Early Majority (34%), Late Majority (34%), and Laggards (16%).
2
Sources
60%
Confidence
Long-term
Relevance
7/22/2026
First Seen
Sources
Related Claims
VerifiedEverett Rogers's diffusion of innovations theory categorizes consumers into innovators (2.5%), early adopters (13.5%), early majority (34%), late majority (34%), and laggards (16%).76% similarUnverifiedGeoffrey Moore proposed the technology diffusion theory in Crossing the Chasm, dividing the technology adoption curve into five stages: Innovators 2.5%, Early Adopters 13.5%, Early Majority 34%, Late Majority 34%, and Laggards 16%.75% similarUnverifiedMETR's follow-up study in February 2026 points out that early adopters tend to overestimate the benefits, while usage patterns (such as over-reliance on generation and frequent context switching) significantly change net efficiency.59% similarUnverifiedAnthropic's claimed 40% reduction is based on a comparison using default settings (the new model defaults to mid-tier, while the previous generation defaulted to high-tier); at the same tier, the new model thinks more, so actual consumption is not necessarily lower.57% similar
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