Unverified60% confidenceOpinionExact time
The current capability iteration cycle for large AI models has shortened to 3-6 months, compared to Moore's Law's roughly 18-month cycle in traditional hardware
2
Sources
60%
Confidence
Medium-term (~90 days)
Relevance
8/2/2026
First Seen
Sources
AI Model Delayed Two Months and Still Can't Beat Opus? The Battle Between Release Cadence and User Expectations
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