Expired50% confidencePredictionExact time
OpenAI expects that computing power will still be insufficient even by 2026, and will remain quite limited in 2027
1
Sources
50%
Confidence
Medium-term (~90 days)
Relevance
7/4/2026
First Seen
Valid until: 10/2/2026(expired)
Sources
OpenAI CFO深度访谈：IPO态度、算力短缺与Jony Ive新硬件全解析
bilibili阅词6/2/2026
Related Claims
UnverifiedOpenAI's CFO Sarah Fryer stated that even by 2026 the company's compute capacity will still be insufficient, and will remain quite limited in 2027.85% similarUnverifiedOpenAI's original target of reaching 1 billion weekly active users by the end of 2025 had still not been met as of April 202676% similarUnverifiedConsistency distillation was proposed by OpenAI in 2023.73% similarUnverifiedThe capability gap between top closed-source models and open models has widened since 2024.71% similarUnverifiedOpenAI had originally planned to reach 1 billion weekly active users by the end of 2025, but as of April 2026 had still not achieved that target.71% similar
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