Expired80% confidenceFactExact time
Gartner's Hype Cycle divides new technologies into five stages: Technology Trigger, Peak of Inflated Expectations, Trough of Disillusionment, Slope of Enlightenment, and Plateau of Productivity
15
Sources
80%
Confidence
Medium-term (~90 days)
Relevance
7/4/2026
First Seen
Valid until: 10/2/2026(expired)
Sources
AI Agent开发四阶段能力模型：15K到40K薪资成长路径
bilibili李宏毅AIAgent7/2/2026
Related Claims
VerifiedThe Gartner Hype Cycle shows that new technologies inevitably enter the 'Trough of Disillusionment' after experiencing the 'Peak of Inflated Expectations'.77% similarUnverifiedIn its 2023 Hype Cycle report, Gartner noted that MLOps is moving from the "Peak of Inflated Expectations" toward the "Plateau of Productivity."76% similarUnverifiedIn Gartner's 2024 Hype Cycle, "AI-driven software engineering" was listed as a technology trend that will have a transformative impact within the next 2–5 years.68% similarUnverifiedSince the release of ChatGPT at the end of 2022, generative AI rapidly climbed to the 'Peak of Inflated Expectations' on the Gartner Hype Cycle, and the current narrative shift is a signal of a transition toward the 'Trough of Disillusionment'.67% similarVerifiedGartner's 2024 report placed Agentic AI near the Peak of Inflated Expectations, predicting it will still take 2–5 years to reach the Plateau of Productivity.65% similar
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