Unverified60% confidenceFactExact time
In normal human writing, approximately 50% of words fall on the green-list side, because the vocabulary is randomly partitioned.
2
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60%
Confidence
Long-term
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8/24/2026
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Related Claims
UnverifiedThe number of green-list tokens in human-written text follows a binomial distribution, with an expected value of approximately half the total number of tokens.79% similarUnverifiedUnder the condition of n=100 with an even split of positive and negative samples, the 95% confidence interval for 55% accuracy is roughly 45%–65%, which covers the 50% baseline, so the 5 percentage point gap may be random fluctuation.60% similarUnverifiedAnswer balancing requires that the yes/no labels of each question type be roughly matched in distribution, so that the expected accuracy of random guessing stays around 50%.58% similarUnverified一个随机猜测的模型在单次二元预测中有50%的概率押中57% similarUnverified在5%显著性水平下测试100个随机因子，期望会有5个看起来显著（多重假设检验问题）56% similar
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