Unverified50% confidenceFactExact time
在五步连续运算中即便每步正确率95%,五步全部正确的概率约为77%(0.95⁵≈0.774)
1
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50%
Confidence
Long-term
Relevance
8/29/2026
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Verified如果一个10步操作中每步准确率为95%,整体成功率仅约60%80% similarUnverified每步60%准确率意味着连续5步后整体成功率约为7.8%(0.6的5次方)79% similarUnverified假设每步成功率为95%,在一个50步会话中整体成功率约为0.95^50≈8%77% similarUnverified即使单步准确率高达99%,在300步生成后完全一致的概率也仅为(0.99)^300≈4.9%72% similarUnverified如果AI给出正确决策的概率是90%,连续10次无脑追随AI的决定,最终正确率只有约35%(0.9的10次方)69% similar
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