Unverified50% confidenceBenchmarkExact time
When given eight instructions simultaneously, an AI agent's probability of complying with all of them is approximately only 5%.
1
Sources
50%
Confidence
Medium-term (~90 days)
Relevance
9/5/2026
First Seen
Valid until: 12/4/2026
Sources
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Related Claims
UnverifiedIf the probability of the AI making a correct decision is 90%, blindly following the AI's decisions 10 times in a row yields a final accuracy rate of only approximately 35% (0.9 to the power of 10).74% similarUnverified在某些测试条件下，主流AI编程工具推荐不存在包名的概率可达5%~20%73% similarUnverifiedIn the experimental design, the AI used an 8:2 split to reserve 20% as an independent test set, and applied 5-fold cross-validation on the 80% training set to avoid data leakage.69% similarUnverifiedIn a 10-step automated process where AI achieves 95% accuracy per step, the overall success rate drops to approximately 60% (0.95^10 ≈ 0.60), demonstrating the 'error accumulation effect'.69% similarUnverified4 basic rules can reduce the AI programming error rate from 41% to 11%68% similar
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