Unverified50% confidenceFactExact time
Frontier models are dramatically compressing the time between vulnerability discovery and exploitation, potentially making exploit code available the same afternoon a vulnerability is disclosed in the morning.
1
Sources
50%
Confidence
Medium-term (~90 days)
Relevance
9/12/2026
First Seen
Valid until: 12/11/2026
Sources
Related Entities
Related Claims
UnverifiedAccording to statistics from security firms including Mandiant, the average time from public vulnerability disclosure to exploitation in the wild has shrunk from weeks to days, with some high-severity vulnerabilities being exploited on the day of disclosure.73% similarUnverified2018年的Spectre/Meltdown CPU漏洞展示了通过侧信道攻击突破硬件隔离边界的可能性67% similarUnverifiedModern ransomware variants such as Conti and BlackMatter lie dormant for weeks to months before launching their main attack, systematically enumerating and destroying accessible backup targets including NAS devices, cloud snapshots, and virtual machine images.65% similarUnverifiedClaude 5.1 can help identify software vulnerabilities in source code but still blocks the generation of exploit code, and binary vulnerability scanning and penetration testing requests are redirected.64% similar
Cite This Claim
Stable URI
https://kongchang.com/claim/911471API
curl https://kongchang.com/api/v1/knowledge/claims/911471MCP
get_claim(id=911471)