Unverified50% confidenceOpinionExact time
Evan, Anthropic's head of alignment science, publicly stated that he personally believes the probability of AI killing all of humanity within the next decade is greater than 10%, and that there is currently no solution to the problem of superintelligence alignment.
1
Sources
50%
Confidence
Medium-term (~90 days)
Relevance
9/20/2026
First Seen
Valid until: 12/19/2026
Sources
Related Entities
Related Claims
UnverifiedAnthropic's head of Alignment Science Evan Hubinger acknowledged a lack of relevant solutions and estimated the probability of AI causing mass extinction in the next ten years at over 10%.76% similarUnverifiedPragmatists believe that the actual capabilities of current AI fall far short of the level required to cause human extinction.69% similarUnverifiedThe AI research community has not reached a unified opinion on the topic of existential risk.67% similarUnverifiedBill Gates does not agree with the extreme narrative that AI will lead to human extinction, but maintains that specific threats in the fields of cybersecurity and biosecurity require immediate action.66% similarUnverifiedThe speed of action, duration, and scale of processing of AI agents have already exceeded the scope that humans can reasonably review, leading to a breakdown in oversight.63% similar
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