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ConceptCarbon Budget

Carbon Budget

The total cumulative amount of carbon dioxide that can be emitted globally under a given temperature limit. It is tied to cumulative emissions rather than annual flows and serves as the arithmetic basis for climate policy and emissions accounting.

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Oct 21

The IPCC Sixth Assessment Report estimates that to keep warming within 1.5°C (with 50% probability), the remaining carbon budget is about 500 billion tonnes of CO₂.

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Oct 21

The carbon budget is tied to cumulative emissions rather than the emissions flow of a given year; historical emissions have already locked in part of the warming, and even if future emissions dropped to zero, the warming that has already occurred would not reverse.

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