ConceptCondorcet Jury Theorem
Condorcet Jury Theorem
A classical theorem in statistics and political science stating that if jurors make independent judgments and each individual's probability of being correct exceeds 50%, the collective decision's probability of being correct approaches 100% as the number of jurors increases. The theorem requires that individual errors be mutually independent.
Timeline (last 90 days)
Sep 14
The Condorcet jury theorem requires that jurors' errors be mutually independent; when jurors share training data, architecture, or alignment processes, this assumption does not hold and the theorem's conclusions break down
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