Unverified50% confidenceFactExact time
Calibration refers to a judge who is 70% confident in 100 events having approximately 70 of those events actually occur, in which case the judge is said to be well-calibrated.
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Long-term
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10/12/2026
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Related Claims
UnverifiedEach question in the test is scored out of 100 points, consisting of 70 points for correctness plus 30 points for quality, with different questions carrying different weights.75% similarUnverifiedWhen a well-calibrated person says 'I am 70% confident,' the actual success rate of such judgments should be close to 70%.75% similarUnverifiedManual review of 177 verifier judgments shows an accuracy of 97.7%.72% similarVerifiedModel calibration is defined in statistics as: if a model claims a certain answer has 70% confidence, then the actual proportion of correct answers among a large number of such claims should be close to 70%.72% similarVerifiedA perfectly calibrated model achieves an accuracy of exactly 70% across all predictions for which it claims 70% confidence.71% similar
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