Unverified50% confidenceBenchmarkExact time
In the segment where gains exceeded +30%, average model predictions ranged from 27.3% for Claude Opus 5.5 to 61.6% for GPT-5.4 mini, while the actual rise rate was 42.8%.
1
Sources
50%
Confidence
Medium-term (~90 days)
Relevance
10/12/2026
First Seen
Valid until: 1/10/2027
Sources
Related Entities
Related Claims
UnverifiedThe only model among the 9 judged as "chasing momentum" was GPT-5.4 mini, with an extra uplift of +32.8 points (confidence interval +12.4 to +51.6) and a rank correlation with price gains of +0.73.75% similarUnverifiedEarly GPT-4 had a pass rate of only 1.7% on SWE-bench, Claude 3 Opus approximately 4.8%, and it was not until mid-2024 that the 20% mark was surpassed.68% similarUnverifiedOpus 5 achieved a 26% pass rate on the enterprise automation benchmark, higher than Fable's 17.4%.68% similarUnverifiedIn Automation Bench at medium reasoning intensity, GPT-6.1 Sol scored 35.4%, which is 2.2 percentage points higher than Opus 5.5 at one-third of the cost.67% similarUnverifiedOn the HLE benchmark, COMED improved GPT-5.5's performance from 23.1% to 28.1%.67% similar
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