[KongchangAI]
Unverified50% confidenceOpinionExact time

The 'laundering' process of AI existence risk probability estimates usually follows a fixed pattern: a researcher proposes a number based on intuition, subsequent research cites it without questioning it, and after several rounds of citation stacking it acquires the appearance of 'literature support,' finally appearing in policy briefs.

1
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50%
Confidence
Long-term
Relevance
10/12/2026
First Seen

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