Unverified50% confidenceOpinionExact time
Matthew Green believes there is a 15% probability that we will substantially lose confidence in existing public key encryption algorithms.
1
Sources
50%
Confidence
Long-term
Relevance
10/12/2026
First Seen
Sources
Related Entities
Related Claims
UnverifiedCryptographer Matthew Green believes there is a 1% probability that we live in a Minicrypt world, that is, a world in which public key encryption is mathematically impossible.76% similarUnverifiedSystematically weakening encryption infrastructure in the name of security ultimately damages the digital rights of everyone.64% similarUnverifiedMatthew Green suggests preparing in advance, including a clear inventory of existing cryptographic dependencies, continuous tracking of alternatives such as post-quantum cryptography, and preserving flexibility in system design to replace cryptographic primitives.62% similarUnverifiedThe encryption layer severs the association between the hidden network and observable representations at the statistical level, making white-box access insufficient to guarantee discovery of hidden capabilities.62% similarUnverifiedFor claimed breakthroughs in decrypting long-unsolved ciphers, the cryptographic community typically requires public disclosure of methodology and verifiable results.61% similar
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