Unverified50% confidenceConceptExact time
The competence frontier refers to the task difficulty range where the policy's current success rate is neither close to 0 nor close to 1, typically corresponding to success rates roughly between 20% and 80%.
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10/13/2026
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Unverified传统的成功率指标难以全面反映策略的鲁棒性,一个策略可能在90%的常规任务中表现出色却在剩余10%的关键场景中出现灾难性失败76% similarUnverifiedBenchmark scores measure the average of a model's success consistency and failure frequency, not its peak capability.70% similarUnverifiedThe general-purpose policy model π_{0.5} has a grasping success rate of 0% in real deployment scenarios without adaptation.69% similarUnverifiedAdding 1 layer of lookahead search on top of the policy network improved the win rate from 0.625 to 0.944 (160 paired matches, 95% confidence interval +0.24 to +0.40).68% similarUnverifiedFor a long-running task with a single-run success rate of only 85%, there will be 4–5 failures per month; raising it to 99% results in fewer than 1 expected failure per month, which approaches enterprise-level availability standards.68% similar
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