Unverified50% confidenceFactExact time
In a four-choice scenario, even if the top-1 probability reaches 0.64, the normalized confidence may be only 0.26, which is why the plugin, comparing confidence against the 0.8 threshold, can never pass.
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10/15/2026
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UnverifiedIn the multiple testing problem, if each independent test produces a false positive with a 5% probability at the 5% significance level, then after 20 independent attempts the probability of at least one false positive is about 64%.75% similarUnverifiedRanked by question difficulty, persistence rate was 91.4% on the 60 questions that all models answered correctly, but only 73.5% on the 52 questions that at least one model got wrong, indicating that sycophancy tracks uncertainty.71% similarUnverified仅用小模型策略的每正确答案成本最低($0.0004)但准确率仅33%，说明没有准确率底线的每正确答案成本指标具有误导性71% similarUnverifiedFor agent pairs with large reward gaps, the decision disagreement rate is below 1%.71% similarUnverifiedThe confidence field of the Jev interface is calculated from raw probabilities (when the highest probability among three options is 90%, it yields 0.85), and cannot be read as an 85% answer accuracy rate; the raw probability of the selected team should be used when making decisions.71% similar
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