Unverified50% confidenceFactExact time
In physical tasks, for autoregressive models, any single-step deviation accumulates exponentially with sequence length, ultimately leading to catastrophic failure.
1
Sources
50%
Confidence
Long-term
Relevance
10/16/2026
First Seen
Sources
Can Autoregressive Sampling Solve Physical Tasks? Aether AI's Path to Causal Reasoning
twitterfchollet10/14/2026
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Related Claims
UnverifiedIn multi-step tasks, tool-call failures accumulate, and a high single-step failure rate causes the overall success rate to decline exponentially.80% similarUnverified级联失败是指单次工具调用错误会污染后续上下文，导致模型在错误的中间状态上继续推理，最终使整个任务偏轨79% similarUnverified自回归生成的误差累积效应源于模型只能沿单一路径前进，误差以乘积形式放大76% similarVerifiedIn autoregressive prediction, errors at each step accumulate into the next, causing long-range predictions to degrade rapidly.76% similar
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