Unverified50% confidenceBenchmarkExact time
In 24-month forecasts, Timestral's 80% quantile interval had an actual coverage of only 16.7%, at 25% for the first 12 months and dropping to 8.3% for the last 12 months.
1
Sources
50%
Confidence
Short-term (~14 days)
Relevance
10/20/2026
First Seen
Valid until: 11/3/2026
Sources
Related Entities
Related Claims
UnverifiedAll of Timestral's median forecasts for the 24 months were below the actual values, with a constant deviation of -44.93.76% similarUnverifiedThe current state can always be found (100%, 18/18), the dated history can be found only about one fifth of the time (22%, 21/95), and half of the answers are hidden in the history.62% similarUnverifiedBased on a monthly quota of 200,000 invocations, the fixed occupancy of the scheduled trigger drops from 43.2% to 21.6%.61% similarUnverifiedZhipu's API gross margin in the first half of the year was only 25%, while Moonshot AI's API gross margin last year was approximately 45%.61% similarUnverifiedThe Timestral-209M model reads up to 32,768 historical steps, predicts up to 1,024 steps per forward pass, and outputs 21 quantiles (0.01 to 0.99) per prediction.61% similar
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