Unverified50% confidenceFactExact time
Being well calibrated means that judgments claimed with 80% confidence are in fact correct about 80% of the time over the long run.
1
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50%
Confidence
Long-term
Relevance
10/30/2026
First Seen
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Related Claims
UnverifiedWhen a well-calibrated person says 'I am 70% confident,' the actual success rate of such judgments should be close to 70%.79% similarVerifiedIn a well-calibrated model, an output score of 0.8 should statistically correspond to an actual accuracy of 80%.79% similarUnverified功效分析中统计功效（Statistical Power）通常设为 80% 以上75% similarVerifiedA perfectly calibrated model achieves an accuracy of exactly 70% across all predictions for which it claims 70% confidence.75% similarUnverified研究表明经过良好校准的LLM裁判与人工标注的一致性可达80%以上74% similar
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