Unverified50% confidenceFactExact time
如果每步准确率为95%，经过20步循环后整体准确率会降至约36%
1
Sources
50%
Confidence
Medium-term (~90 days)
Relevance
7/2/2026
First Seen
Valid until: 9/30/2026
Sources
Loop Engineering实践指南：循环工程的痛点与解决方案
bilibiliAI_Express6/18/2026
Related Claims
Verified在长链路任务中，若每一步约5%的错误率，经过20步后整体成功率可能跌至不足36%80% similarVerified如果一个10步操作中每步准确率为95%，整体成功率仅约60%77% similarUnverifiedLID切换点准确率通常比非切换点LID准确率低10-20个百分点77% similarUnverifiedIn a 10-step automated process where AI achieves 95% accuracy per step, the overall success rate drops to approximately 60% (0.95^10 ≈ 0.60), demonstrating the 'error accumulation effect'.76% similarVerifiedReAct的误差会链式放大：若每步准确率为p，经过n步后整体成功率约为p的n次方，单步95%准确率经过10步后整体成功率约降至59.9%，20步后仅剩35.8%75% similar
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