Verified70% confidenceFactExact time

ReAct的误差会链式放大：若每步准确率为p，经过n步后整体成功率约为p的n次方，单步95%准确率经过10步后整体成功率约降至59.9%，20步后仅剩35.8%

4

Sources

70%

Confidence

Long-term

Relevance

7/6/2026

First Seen

Sources

AI Agent落地真正风险：不是失控，而是太听话

bilibili码走日同学7/3/2026

Related Claims

Verified如果一个10步操作中每步准确率为95%，整体成功率仅约60%76% similar Verified在长链路任务中，若每一步约5%的错误率，经过20步后整体成功率可能跌至不足36%75% similar Verified如果每步准确率为95%，经过20步循环后整体准确率会降至约36%75% similar Unverified每步60%准确率意味着连续5步后整体成功率约为7.8%（0.6的5次方）75% similar UnverifiedAgent在多步骤任务中存在错误累积效应，每步95%准确率的十步串联后成功率跌至约60%73% similar

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