Expired50% confidenceFactExact time
OpenAI researcher Ilya Sutskever hinted as early as 2023 that the path of simply stacking parameters may be approaching a physical limit.
1
Sources
50%
Confidence
Medium-term (~90 days)
Relevance
7/2/2026
First Seen
Valid until: 9/30/2026(expired)
Sources
Related Claims
UnverifiedOpenAI researcher Ilya Sutskever hinted as early as 2023 that the brute-force scaling approach of stacking parameters may be approaching its physical limits.73% similarUnverifiedThe capability gap between top closed-source models and open models has widened since 2024.63% similarUnverifiedAs of 2024–2025, open-source models have approached or even matched the performance of closed-source models on multiple benchmarks.62% similarUnverifiedOpenAI expects that computing power will still be insufficient even by 2026, and will remain quite limited in 202762% similarUnverifiedOpenAI在2020年的论文证明参数规模提升可带来涌现能力的质变61% similar
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