Unverified50% confidenceFactExact time
判断PMF的经验性指标包括Sean Ellis提出的40%测试、净推荐值NPS以及自然增长比例
1
Sources
50%
Confidence
Long-term
Relevance
7/13/2026
First Seen
Sources
Vibe Coding能做出爆款吗？信鸽App月活35万背后的真相
Related Claims
VerifiedSean Ellis's "40% test" holds that if more than 40% of users say they would be "very disappointed" if the product disappeared, then PMF has been achieved.67% similarUnverifiedNPS（净推荐值）由贝恩咨询于2003年提出，通过0-10分的推荐可能性计算推荐者与贬损者的差值66% similarUnverifiedThe Net Promoter Score (NPS) was introduced by Bain & Company in 2003, with a score range of -100 to +100.65% similarUnverifiedFrank Schmidt和John Hunter在1998年发表的元分析研究（涵盖85年的研究数据）发现工作样本测试的预测效度约为0.54，结构化面试约为0.51，非结构化面试约为0.38，学历证书约为0.1063% similarUnverifiedSome research estimates that fewer than 20% of strategies selected through backtesting within quantitative funds remain consistently effective in live trading.62% similar
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