Unverified50% confidenceFactExact time
单个Agent 5%的异常概率，经过三个串联Agent后，正常执行的概率将下降至约85%（0.95³≈0.857）
1
Sources
50%
Confidence
Long-term
Relevance
7/16/2026
First Seen
Sources
Related Claims
UnverifiedIf the probability of the AI making a correct decision is 90%, blindly following the AI's decisions 10 times in a row yields a final accuracy rate of only approximately 35% (0.9 to the power of 10).68% similarUnverified若Sub-Agent的输出存在10%错误率，经过3个串行Agent后错误率可能累积至27%以上67% similarUnverifiedAgents suffer from error accumulation in multi-step tasks; a ten-step sequential process where each step has 95% accuracy results in an overall success rate that drops to approximately 60%.66% similarVerifiedIn long-chain tasks, if each step has an error rate of approximately 5%, the overall success rate may drop to below 36% after 20 steps.65% similarUnverifiedRisk-reduction AI use cases account for only 3.4%, yet 25% of them report transformative ROI.65% similar
Cite This Claim
Stable URI
https://kongchang.com/claim/533654API
curl https://kongchang.com/api/v1/knowledge/claims/533654MCP
get_claim(id=533654)