Unverified50% confidenceFactExact time
99.3%通过率（283/285）对应的95%置信区间约为97.5%-99.9%（使用Wilson区间估计）
1
Sources
50%
Confidence
Long-term
Relevance
8/24/2026
First Seen
Sources
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Related Claims
Unverified将置信水平从95%提高到99%（z值2.576），相同样本量下的误差范围将扩大约31%70% similarUnverified95%置信水平意味着如果用相同方法重复进行100次调查，大约有95次的结果会落在误差范围之内69% similarUnverified95%置信水平对应的标准正态分位数z值约为1.9668% similarUnverified在提升召回率时不可避免地牺牲精确率，将召回率从95%提升至99%可能使精确率从90%降至70%66% similarUnverified研究显示人类在标注90%置信度时，实际正确率往往只有70%左右，存在系统性过度自信66% similar
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