Unverified50% confidenceFactExact time

In 1986, Fred Brooks proposed in his paper "No Silver Bullet: Essence and Accidents of Software Engineering" that software development difficulties are divided into essential complexity and accidental complexity, and predicted that no silver bullet would emerge within ten years to improve productivity tenfold

1

Sources

50%

Confidence

Long-term

Relevance

9/1/2026

First Seen

Sources

From 90s CASE Tools to AI Coding: Engineering Lessons Spanning Three Decades

Related Entities

Fred Brooksperson No Silver Bulletconcept

Related Claims

UnverifiedBrooks在《人月神话》中将软件复杂性分为「本质复杂性」和「偶然复杂性」74% similar UnverifiedBrooks将软件困难分为次要困难（语法、代码敲击、内存等）和本质困难（内在复杂度、一致性、可变性、不可见性）68% similar UnverifiedBrooks定律指出向一个已经延迟的软件项目中增加人手只会让它更加延迟，出自Frederick Brooks于1975年的著作《人月神话》66% similar

Cite This Claim

Stable URI

https://kongchang.com/claim/837932

API

curl https://kongchang.com/api/v1/knowledge/claims/837932

MCP

get_claim(id=837932)