Unverified50% confidenceFactExact time
The typical pace of AI capability progress is approximately 15.5 ECI points per year, an empirical value derived from regression of the comprehensive performance of mainstream models across multiple benchmarks over the past several years.
1
Sources
50%
Confidence
Medium-term (~90 days)
Relevance
9/4/2026
First Seen
Valid until: 12/3/2026
Sources
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