Unverified50% confidenceFactExact time
On the eve of the 2016 U.S. election, prediction markets such as Betfair gave Hillary Clinton a winning probability as high as 83%, and the prediction failed.
1
Sources
50%
Confidence
Long-term
Relevance
9/6/2026
First Seen
Sources
Related Entities
Related Claims
Cite This Claim
Stable URI
https://kongchang.com/claim/866104API
curl https://kongchang.com/api/v1/knowledge/claims/866104MCP
get_claim(id=866104)