Unverified50% confidenceOpinionExact time
Amara's Law states that technology is overestimated in the short term and underestimated in the long term, and this law applies equally to the field of AI.
1
Sources
50%
Confidence
Long-term
Relevance
9/12/2026
First Seen
Sources
Related Entities
Related Claims
UnverifiedAmara 定律(以未来学家 Roy Amara 命名)指出人们倾向于高估技术的短期影响,而低估其长期影响76% similarUnverifiedStatic cognition of AI capabilities leads to two typical misjudgments: underestimation and overestimation.75% similarUnverifiedTejal believes that the outside world systematically underestimates the true capabilities of AI models, rather than overhyping them.73% similarUnverifiedOverly strict permission restrictions reduce AI utility, while overly loose restrictions defeat the purpose of security; the usability-security balance of permission granularity is the key trade-off determining the success or failure of local agent products.71% similarUnverifiedAddressing the risk of AI going out of control cannot rely solely on technical means; industry standards, laws and regulations, and cross-institutional collaboration are equally important.70% similar
Cite This Claim
Stable URI
https://kongchang.com/claim/916033API
curl https://kongchang.com/api/v1/knowledge/claims/916033MCP
get_claim(id=916033)