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ConceptAmara's Law

Amara's Law

A technology forecasting principle proposed by futurist Roy Amara, stating that people tend to overestimate the short-term impact of a technology and underestimate its long-term impact. It is widely cited in discussions of technology adoption cycles and hype.

Timeline (last 90 days)

Sep 12

Amara's Law states that technology is overestimated in the short term and underestimated in the long term, and this law applies equally to the field of AI.

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Sep 11

Amara's Law states that people tend to overestimate the short-term impact of technology and underestimate its long-term impact.

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