Unverified50% confidenceFactExact time
The release of ChatGPT at the end of 2022 and GPT-4's demonstration of multi-step reasoning capabilities in 2023 invalidated the capability prediction curves that had previously been widely accepted in the industry
1
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50%
Confidence
Long-term
Relevance
9/23/2026
First Seen
Sources
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Related Claims
UnverifiedIn 2023, GPT-4 was far ahead of other models on programming tasks.79% similarUnverifiedModels such as GPT-4 demonstrated vulnerability discovery and exploitation capabilities in CTF competitions during 2022–2023.79% similarUnverifiedIt was not until GPT-4-level models appeared in 2023 that LLMs had sufficient reasoning capability to drive reliable Agent systems.77% similarVerifiedOpenAI's model naming follows a traceable public release pattern, from GPT-3 (2020) and GPT-3.5 (2022) to GPT-4 (2023) and GPT-4o (2024).76% similarUnverifiedGPT-4V于2023年9月发布,标志着多模态能力正式进入主流商用阶段75% similar
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