[KongchangAI]
Conceptconditional geometric resampling

Conditional Geometric Resampling

A technique for estimating unobserved losses that estimates the expected loss through resampling from a geometric distribution, controlling variance while preserving unbiasedness.

Timeline (last 90 days)

Nov 4

The loss estimator designed in the paper combines three key components: forced exploration, conditional geometric resampling, and an adaptive learning rate with surrogate probabilities.

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Nov 4

Conditional geometric resampling estimates the expected loss of unobserved nodes by resampling from a geometric distribution, ensures unbiasedness of the estimate conditional on the given history, and controls variance through the tail properties of the geometric distribution.

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Nov 4

Through the design of conditional geometric resampling and surrogate probabilities, the algorithm requires only a constant number of graph operations per update, thereby achieving nearly linear expected time without explicitly enumerating all unobserved nodes.

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