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PersonNassim Nicholas Taleb

Taleb

A Lebanese-American writer, scholar, and former derivatives trader, known for his research on randomness, uncertainty, and black swan events.

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Oct 30

Traditional portfolio theory (such as the Markowitz mean-variance model) assumes returns follow a normal distribution, thereby underestimating the impact of tail events; whereas Taleb in "The Black Swan" emphasizes that real-world distributions often have fat-tail characteristics, with extreme events occurring far more frequently than normal-distribution predictions.

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