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Unverified50% confidenceFactExact time

Traditional portfolio theory (such as the Markowitz mean-variance model) assumes returns follow a normal distribution, thereby underestimating the impact of tail events; whereas Taleb in "The Black Swan" emphasizes that real-world distributions often have fat-tail characteristics, with extreme events occurring far more frequently than normal-distribution predictions.

1
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50%
Confidence
Long-term
Relevance
10/30/2026
First Seen

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