Unverified50% confidenceBenchmarkExact time
Decider reports a correct rate of 99.6% for judgments at 90% confidence and above on JudgeBench, 94.0% for the 80–90 interval, 84.1% for the 70–80 interval, and 67.7% for below 70%.
1
Sources
50%
Confidence
Medium-term (~90 days)
Relevance
10/12/2026
First Seen
Valid until: 1/10/2027
Sources
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Related Claims
UnverifiedWhen a well-calibrated person says 'I am 70% confident,' the actual success rate of such judgments should be close to 70%.73% similarUnverified99.3%通过率（283/285）对应的95%置信区间约为97.5%-99.9%（使用Wilson区间估计）71% similarUnverifiedResearch shows that when humans assign 90% confidence, their actual accuracy rate is often only around 70%, indicating a systematic overconfidence70% similarUnverified研究表明人类评估者在判断LLM输出的事实准确性时，正确率往往只有50%-70%69% similarUnverifiedIn LLM-as-a-judge evaluation, the judge's judgment is highly dependent on the wording of the prompt, and different descriptions of evaluation criteria can cause the pass rate to plummet from 100% to 0%68% similar
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