Kalshi
A regulated prediction market exchange operating under oversight of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). It allows users to trade contracts whose outcomes are tied to future events, and is among the first prediction market platforms in the United States to receive regulatory approval.
Timeline (last 90 days)
Polymarket operates on a blockchain (the Polygon network), while Kalshi is a compliant exchange regulated by the U.S. CFTC.
A developer created an open-source project that has three decision models — OpenAI Decisions API, TypeSafe's Jev, and Cloudflare's Clef — predict future events given the same evidence, and compares their outputs against real-time prices from Polymarket and Kalshi.
The product Polymind is an AI market analyzer targeting traders on prediction market platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket.
Staff at The New York Times and The Athletic are calling on the company through the NewsGuild to terminate its partnership agreement with Kalshi.
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market platform that obtained DCM status in 2021, making it the first platform in the United States to receive federal-level regulatory approval to legally operate event contract trading.
Employees of The New York Times and its sports media outlet The Athletic publicly spoke out through the journalism union News Guild, demanding that the company terminate its partnership agreement with prediction market platform Kalshi.
Kalshi is a prediction market platform regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), where users can place bets on the outcomes of various future events.
The CFTC attempted to block Kalshi from listing U.S. congressional election contracts in 2023, and the two parties went to federal court; Kalshi prevailed legally in 2024 and began offering election-related contracts.
Kalshi obtained the CFTC's Designated Contract Market (DCM) designation in 2021, becoming the first platform in the United States to receive federal-level regulatory approval to legally operate event contract trading.
The core reasons employees cited for terminating the Kalshi partnership include conflicts of interest with journalistic independence, long-term damage to brand reputation, and threats to the firewall between editorial and commercial operations.
All Facts (8)
Kalshi是受CFTC监管的合规预测市场，而PolyMarket运行在区块链上，主要面向美国以外用户
85%UnverifiedPolymarket operates on a blockchain (the Polygon network), while Kalshi is a compliant exchange regulated by the U.S. CFTC.
50%UnverifiedThe product Polymind is an AI market analyzer targeting traders on prediction market platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket.
50%UnverifiedKalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market platform that obtained DCM status in 2021, making it the first platform in the United States to receive federal-level regulatory approval to legally operate event contract trading.
50%UnverifiedKalshi obtained the CFTC's Designated Contract Market (DCM) designation in 2021, becoming the first platform in the United States to receive federal-level regulatory approval to legally operate event contract trading.
50%UnverifiedKalshi is a prediction market platform regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), where users can place bets on the outcomes of various future events.
50%UnverifiedA developer created an open-source project that has three decision models — OpenAI Decisions API, TypeSafe's Jev, and Cloudflare's Clef — predict future events given the same evidence, and compares their outputs against real-time prices from Polymarket and Kalshi.
50%UnverifiedThe CFTC attempted to block Kalshi from listing U.S. congressional election contracts in 2023, and the two parties went to federal court; Kalshi prevailed legally in 2024 and began offering election-related contracts.
50%