Polymarket
A blockchain-based prediction market platform on which users trade on the outcomes of real-world events. Its data is commonly used in public-opinion research and information aggregation workflows.
Timeline (last 90 days)
Currently available first-hand information is quite limited; the specific evidence of the original tip, the scale of accounts involved, the scale of funds and Polymarket's official response have not been presented, and the tip should be regarded as a "claim pending verification" rather than an established fact.
The esports audience is young, highly active online and frequent users of social platforms, and discussions around match results carry strong emotions and high interactivity, making it an ideal scenario for testing paid communication strategies.
Polymarket's core business is to let users bet on the outcomes of future events.
Polymarket is accused of operating a paid "quote-retweet" esports promotion program, an accusation originating from an article titled "America's Wumao: Inside Polymarket's Paid Quote-Retweet Esports Program" and sparking discussion on Hacker News (item ID 50120010).
Vercel officially disclosed that 150,000 teams now run Python backends on Vercel, including companies such as OpenAI, Polymarket, and Exa.
On Polymarket's 'best AI model (end of October)' contract, Meta has only 1%, Google leads with 69%, and Anthropic holds 28%.
In October 2026, in Polymarket's 'best model' contract, Google led Anthropic 71% to 26%; in the year-end contract, Google 42%, Anthropic 42%, OpenAI 9%.
Polymarket's 'best model' contract has liquidity as high as 1.6 million US dollars, making it the most closely watched AI leaderboard contract.
In Polymarket's 'agent' contract, Anthropic reached as high as 93%, OpenAI 4%, Google 3%.
Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market built on the Polygon blockchain, where users use the USDC stablecoin to buy shares of event outcomes, with prices between 0 and 1 US dollar directly corresponding to the market-implied probability.
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All Facts (20)
Currently available first-hand information is quite limited; the specific evidence of the original tip, the scale of accounts involved, the scale of funds and Polymarket's official response have not been presented, and the tip should be regarded as a "claim pending verification" rather than an established fact.
50%UnverifiedThe esports audience is young, highly active online and frequent users of social platforms, and discussions around match results carry strong emotions and high interactivity, making it an ideal scenario for testing paid communication strategies.
50%UnverifiedPolymarket's core business is to let users bet on the outcomes of future events.
50%UnverifiedVercel officially disclosed that 150,000 teams now run Python backends on Vercel, including companies such as OpenAI, Polymarket, and Exa.
50%UnverifiedOn Polymarket's 'best AI model (end of October)' contract, Meta has only 1%, Google leads with 69%, and Anthropic holds 28%.
50%UnverifiedIn October 2026, in Polymarket's 'best model' contract, Google led Anthropic 71% to 26%; in the year-end contract, Google 42%, Anthropic 42%, OpenAI 9%.
50%UnverifiedPolymarket's 'best model' contract has liquidity as high as 1.6 million US dollars, making it the most closely watched AI leaderboard contract.
50%UnverifiedIn Polymarket's 'agent' contract, Anthropic reached as high as 93%, OpenAI 4%, Google 3%.
50%UnverifiedPolymarket is a decentralized prediction market built on the Polygon blockchain, where users use the USDC stablecoin to buy shares of event outcomes, with prices between 0 and 1 US dollar directly corresponding to the market-implied probability.
50%UnverifiedEach outcome in a Polymarket market corresponds to an independent ERC-1155 token (token ID).
50%UnverifiedPolymarket provides a public market WebSocket channel with the endpoint wss://ws-subscriptions-clob.polymarket.com/ws/market for pushing real-time order book and trade updates.
50%UnverifiedThe Polymarket market channel is subscribed to via asset IDs (also known as token IDs), and each outcome has its own independent token ID.
50%UnverifiedPolymarket is a blockchain-based prediction market platform running on the Polygon network.
50%UnverifiedIn Polymarket, share prices fluctuate between $0 and $1, representing the implied probability of that outcome occurring.
50%UnverifiedPolymarket's order matching is handled by an off-chain matching engine called the CLOB (Central Limit Order Book), with settlement to the chain occurring only after a trade is executed.
50%UnverifiedWhen subscribing to the Polymarket market channel, the CLOB-level token ID must be used rather than the contract address.
50%UnverifiedProduction-grade implementations should correctly apply price level updates, validate messages, track data timestamps, and test against the current protocol using official documentation.
50%UnverifiedPolymarket operates on a blockchain (the Polygon network), while Kalshi is a compliant exchange regulated by the U.S. CFTC.
50%UnverifiedThe Last 30 Days skill retrieves across sources such as YouTube subtitles, Reddit, and Polymarket, then scores, filters, and synthesizes a concise report without relying on ordinary web search.
50%UnverifiedThe product Polymind is an AI market analyzer targeting traders on prediction market platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket.
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